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US Treasuries Surge while Fears Amid Financials, Chemicals Sector, and UK Gilts

Peter Baden, chief investment officer at Genoa Asset Management, discusses the buy side’s house view on trading fixed income following the weakening US labour market; the potential return of banking turmoil; and the risks to look out for in the chemicals sector and UK Gilts.

North America

  • Volumes across assets were low year to date. Liquidity in equities worsened but spreads in US Investment grade were still tight for 2023.
  • In primary equities: There are several IPOs in Industrials on Nasdaq and NYSE on July 13.
  • Data: US Inflation rate, CPI, Fed’s Beige Book, Core PPI, Initial Jobless Claims, and bank earnings.
  • US axe data, which is within normal ranges, indicates a higher proportion of asks versus bids in credit.

Europe / UK

  • Volumes were still low across assets. Liquidity in equities is moderate but in Euro investment grade is relatively good for year to date.
  • In primary equities: There are several IPOs in Consumer Discretionary on July 10 and Industrials July 11 on Euronext.
  • Data: UK unemployment rate and Payrolls on July 11. GDP and manufacturing on July 13.
  • EU axe data, which is within normal ranges, suggests a slightly higher proportion of EU dealer bids Vs asks in credit
  • GBP axe data, within normal ranges, suggests a much higher net buying Vs selling of credit



10.07.2023


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